TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1 between Yanbian Longding and Foshan Nanshi FC. The event will determine the winner based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the match will conclude in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi FC professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Yanbian Longding market occurs if Yanbian Longding wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Foshan Nanshi FC market occurs if Foshan Nanshi FC secures the victory. If the match ends in a tie after the same period, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate factors like injuries, weather conditions, or even subtle shifts in public opinion, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chinese football match between Yanbian Longding and Foshan Nanshi FC, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Yanbian Longding, a win for Foshan Nanshi FC, or a draw – is the accurate result of the completed match. Traders will then be settled based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Yanbian Longding or Foshan Nanshi FC would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions at the match venue or significant changes in coaching staff could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements regarding match scheduling or venue changes could also lead to movement in this market.