TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Yale will win its college football game against Penn. Currently, Kalshi gives Yale a 71.0% probability of winning, while Penn is at 31.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Yale vs Penn college football game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Penn wins the match scheduled for October 23, 2026, and will close following the conclusion of that contest.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the Yale vs Penn college football game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – this market tends to incorporate that data more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when unexpected developments occur, as traders weigh factors that sportsbooks may not fully account for.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Yale vs Penn game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, showing the available liquidity and the prevailing prices. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Yale vs Penn game, as reported by a trusted source for collegiate sports results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will then receive their winnings or have their losing contracts settled accordingly, based on the final score and the terms of the contracts they held.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Yale or Penn would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching changes, significant shifts in team performance during recent games, or even weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also move the market. Major announcements related to team strategies or player availability, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in polls or expert analyses, could all influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in the contract prices.