TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$289,551,806

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,385,684,468

582,866

Markets across

14,512

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi
Trending
Crypto

XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$2,171
PredictionHero
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET 0%
polymarket
Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? 0%
kalshi
Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? 100%
kalshi
Apr 26Apr 27Apr 28Jun 10020406080100

Closed: Apr 28, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Polymarket and Kalshi measure different price indices at different times. Polymarket resolves on Binance XRP/USDT candle close at 6 PM ET; Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI average at 5 PM EDT. The markets are structurally incompatible.

Hero Tip:

Treat these as separate markets with different mechanics, timing, and data sources. Polymarket is a simple directional bet; Kalshi is a price-band prediction. Cross-platform arbitrage is not viable due to 1-hour timing offset and index divergence.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket:

    Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close >= open; Down otherwise. Settlement at 6 PM ET on April 28, 2026. Source: Binance spot exchange data.

  • Kalshi:

    40 discrete Yes/No outcomes based on CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI price bands (0.02 increments from <1.02 to >1.7799). Resolves Yes if 60-second average before 5 PM EDT falls within specified band. Settlement at 5 PM EDT on April 28, 2026 (1 hour earlier than Polymarket).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.