TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET
Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket has published no resolution rules for this event group, creating a data integrity failure and preventing validation of settlement consistency with Kalshi. Kalshi's 50 markets are internally consistent but cannot be reconciled against an absent counterparty specification.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate, unverified markets until Polymarket publishes explicit rules. Do not assume they use the same price source, measurement window, or threshold definitions. Request official Polymarket documentation before trading. If rules differ, expect settlement disputes and potential platform divergence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 50 binary markets, each tied to a specific XRPUSD_RTI threshold. Resolution: YES if 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds threshold. Thresholds range from 0.8999 to 1.8799 USD in increments of 0.02 to 0.06. All markets use identical measurement methodology and settlement time (5 PM EDT, April 24, 2026). Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: No detailed rules published. Cannot determine price source, measurement methodology, settlement window, or threshold definitions. Unresolvable without official documentation.
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