TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:00 AM EST
Kalshi
In the same competitive Dota 2 matchup, the first map sets the initial tone. The outcome here often influences team strategies and momentum for subsequent maps, making map winners critical indicators of early match dominance.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 1 in the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of Xipto Esports winning map 1. This can lead to discrepancies, as the collective wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi may differ from the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Whether this market offers an edge over sportsbook odds depends on the specific event and the information available to both groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on the probability of Xipto Esports winning map 1, and the price of a 'yes' share reflects the market's consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price can move significantly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, and the 24-hour volume indicates the level of activity and interest in this particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of map 1 in the Xipto Esports vs. Novus Gaming match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. Traders holding shares representing the winning team will receive a payout of 100 cents per share, while those holding shares on the losing team will receive nothing. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Xipto Esports or Novus Gaming could cause the market to shift. Significant updates from analysts or esports commentators offering their predictions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches leading up to this one, or even early developments within map 1 itself, could all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs about the likely winner.