TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams in China's top league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for early morning on October 9, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine the final settlement.
The event determines the winner of a men's professional Chinese Basketball Association game between the Xinjiang Flying Tigers and the Jilin Northeast Tigers, scheduled for October 9, 2026, at 3:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as played, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an unbiased assessment of the unresolved condition. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even external factors influencing the game. It's common to see the market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result between the Xinjiang Flying Tigers and Jilin Northeast Tigers.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the game between the Xinjiang Flying Tigers and Jilin Northeast Tigers, as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. The market will determine which team is declared the winner, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Xinjiang Flying Tigers or the Jilin Northeast Tigers would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even unexpected travel disruptions could also impact trader sentiment. Major media coverage or analysis predicting a shift in momentum could also drive trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the game’s schedule or location could also cause fluctuations in the market as traders reassess the probabilities.