TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
UNLV wins by over 6.5 points
- Kalshi
UNLV wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:10h:12m
$
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Wyoming vs UNLV college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If UNLV wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "UNLV wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; if Wyoming wins by a margin exceeding the threshold in any "Wyoming wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of opinions and potential insights. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, as both markets react to new information and betting activity. However, this market offers a different way to express a view on the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Wyoming vs UNLV game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the correct outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating market movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and produce a forecast that reflects the collective beliefs of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Wyoming vs UNLV football game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered, and to 0 for contracts outside that range, based on the final score difference. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout as defined by the market's pricing.
Several factors could influence the Wyoming vs UNLV spread between now and game day. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the style of play. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or public sentiment shifts could drive price changes. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning will likely be reflected in this market.