TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether San Jose State will exceed 19.5 total first downs in their college football game against Wyoming. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to San Jose State exceeding this threshold. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Traders should particularly watch the outcome of the game on October 9 at 9:00PM ET, as this will directly determine whether San Jose State achieves the required number of first downs to resolve the market in their favor.
In the upcoming college football game between Wyoming and San Jose State, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wyoming" if Wyoming win the game. This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the odds adjust based on the collective predictions of participants. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts as more information becomes available and a wider range of perspectives are incorporated. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Wyoming-San Jose State game. The platform will verify the results against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Wyoming or San Jose State teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even major news regarding team morale could also cause movement. Any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will be reflected in the price of shares, leading to fluctuations until the game is played and the outcome is determined.