TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total points scored in the Wyoming vs San Jose State college football game. Currently, the probability of the game scoring Over 21.5 points is 98.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the game, as defined by whether the teams collectively score more than 39.5 points, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the originally scheduled game on October 9, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 10, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the Wyoming vs San Jose State college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For any market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 24.5 points, Over 27.5 points, etc.), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold they selected.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered, as the market attempts to establish a consensus expectation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the probability of the total points scored.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Wyoming versus San Jose State football game, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available after the game concludes. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it aligns with their predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Wyoming or San Jose State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the price, as others react to their actions and reassess their own predictions.