TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Jose State will win their game against Wyoming by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 80.0% probability to San Jose State winning by over 2.5 points, as defined by a margin of victory exceeding 27.5 points in the game. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Wyoming vs San Jose St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. Keep an eye on the game’s final score on October 10, 2026, as that is the estimated resolution date for this market.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Wyoming vs San Jose St. college football game scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. If San Jose St. wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding "San Jose St. wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Wyoming wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding "Wyoming wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these specific conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market's price is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can provide valuable insights into differing perspectives on the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Wyoming vs San Jose State spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of a particular outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders effectively ‘bet’ on their predictions, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most accurate forecast of the spread, as determined by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Wyoming vs San Jose State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by sports authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in coaching strategies or weather forecasts. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also shift trader sentiment. Public perception, influenced by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role. Any substantial shift in these areas could lead to increased trading volume and a corresponding movement in the Wyoming vs San Jose State spread.