TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the first half of a college football game between Wyoming and San Jose State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that participants can speculate on before the game begins.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Wyoming vs San Jose State college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For any market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they chose.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders and aims for a more accurate probability assessment, though it’s still subject to biases and information asymmetries. While sportsbooks often adjust lines based on betting action to manage risk, this market's price is driven purely by supply and demand among traders anticipating the outcome of the Wyoming vs San Jose State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Wyoming vs San Jose State 1st half total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the traders themselves. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular total is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first half of the Wyoming vs San Jose State game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and confirm their payouts following the game’s conclusion.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wyoming or San Jose State would likely cause movement, as would significant changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift prices, especially as the game draws closer and more information becomes available. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.