TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.2b
24H VOL:
$357,860,285
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,034,130,203
423,320
Markets across
40,117
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively either team performs in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team within the first half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Wyoming vs San Jose State college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-half result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting adjusted expectations given the circumstances.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely result of the first half spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on whether the actual first-half spread will fall above or below the contract’s spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final first-half spread of the Wyoming vs San Jose State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The official game results will be the basis for determining the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wyoming or San Jose State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.