TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Wyoming vs North Dakota State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For markets where North Dakota State must win by a specified margin, the market resolves to Yes only if North Dakota State wins by more than that exact number of points. Conversely, for markets where Wyoming must win by a specified margin, the market resolves to Yes only if Wyoming wins by more than that exact number of points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for real-time adjustments as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. It’s common to see differences between prediction market prices and traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event draws closer and more information becomes public. These differences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Wyoming vs North Dakota State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point spread, determining whether North Dakota State wins by more than the specified number of points or if Wyoming covers the spread. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on this verified result, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Wyoming or North Dakota State teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in public perception, reflected in other betting markets or media coverage, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news about team morale or internal issues could contribute to price movements before Oct 3, 2026.