TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Bettors can choose from various thresholds to speculate on whether the winning team will cover specific margins within the first two quarters of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Wyoming vs North Dakota State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if North Dakota State or Wyoming achieves the stated margin of victory in the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets exclusively consider first-half performance, disregarding any points scored in the second half entirely.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and often align with sportsbook odds, but can diverge based on information available to traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own predictions, potentially leading to differences in perceived probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place greater weight on, information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first half of the Wyoming vs North Dakota St. game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wyoming or North Dakota St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Public sentiment and betting patterns will also play a role.