TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Wycombe and Luton. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The focus is solely on goals scored during regular play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Wycombe and Luton in their EFL League One soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different numerical threshold, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals surpass that threshold. The governing body for the match is the EFL, but Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation or endorsement from the league. All trademarks and branding associated with the teams and league remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different goal totals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in the participants involved. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome, and lower prices suggesting a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on available information.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Wycombe vs Luton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that corresponds to the actual total goals scored, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wycombe or Luton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations about the number of goals scored. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.