TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Wuxi Wugou and Suzhou Dongwu in China's League 1. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. Any postponement or cancellation beyond a specified window will lead to a fair price resolution.
The event determines the winner of the Wuxi Wugou vs Suzhou Dongwu professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Wuxi Wugou secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Wuxi Wugou' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Suzhou Dongwu achieves the win, the 'Suzhou Dongwu' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie under the same time parameters, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, particularly when information is incomplete or subjective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or changes in sentiment, and the current volume is $108,836.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuxi Wugou vs Suzhou Dongwu match, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their contracts settled in their favor shortly after the event concludes. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Performance in preceding matches, weather conditions on the day of the event, and even public opinion or social media buzz could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or significant strategic announcements from either team could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.