TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1. It focuses on determining whether either of the two competing teams wins the game within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event determines the winner of the Wuxi Wugou vs Shaanxi Union FC professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Wuxi Wugou secures a victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Wuxi Wugou' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Shaanxi Union FC achieves the win under the same conditions, the 'Shaanxi Union FC' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after normal playing time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as both represent informed, but distinct, assessments of the event's probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast for the Wuxi Wugou vs Shaanxi Union match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuxi Wugou vs Shaanxi Union match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the official result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their initial investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in confidence, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 25, 2026.