TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Wurzburg and Rostock in Germany's 3. Liga. Bettors can speculate on whether Wurzburg, Rostock, or neither team (a tie) will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends purely on the result of the game as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Wurzburg vs Rostock professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Wurzburg market occurs if Wurzburg wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Rostock occurs if Rostock secures the victory. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform’s guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is considered.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular result, they can drive the price on Kalshi in that direction. This can create opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Wurzburg vs Rostock match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wurzburg vs Rostock match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final contract prices on Kalshi at the time of resolution. The platform ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews from respected sports analysts, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even significant betting activity at traditional sportsbooks could all serve as catalysts. Unexpected announcements related to player form or tactical changes could also lead to notable price movements in this market.