TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Siddhant Banthia and Yusuke Takahashi in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siddhant Banthia' if Siddhant Banthia advances against Yusuke Takahashi. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Takahashi' if Yusuke Takahashi advances against Siddhant Banthia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Siddhant Banthia and Yusuke Takahashi in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siddhant Banthia' if Siddhant Banthia advances against Yusuke Takahashi. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Takahashi' if Yusuke Takahashi advances against Siddhant Banthia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the players’ strengths and weaknesses. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit from the price difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Wuning 3 match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Siddhant Banthia and Yusuke Takahashi. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which competitor emerged victorious. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player matchups could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might influence perceptions of the players’ overall capabilities, leading to adjustments in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.