TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Timofei Derepasko. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Timofei Derepasko. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate a potential value bet, or that the market has information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor news sources and official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and ensure a smooth resolution process for this market.
Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in match conditions could significantly impact this market. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and shift the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to the Oct 12, 2026 resolution.