TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Marat Sharipov in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Marat Sharipov in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different user bases and informational inputs, leading to potentially varying assessments of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 fight between Semen Pankin and Marat Sharipov, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result of the fight.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters' training, potential injuries, or changes in their fight strategies could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering opinions on the likely outcome of the Pankin vs Sharipov fight could sway the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.