TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Yuta Kikuchi in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Yuta Kikuchi. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Kikuchi' if Yuta Kikuchi advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Yuta Kikuchi in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Yuta Kikuchi. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Kikuchi' if Yuta Kikuchi advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by actual trading volume and the beliefs of participants. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the fighters’ capabilities. It's common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Matsuda vs Kikuchi fight is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official decision announced by the event organizers, whether it be a win by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either Ryuki Matsuda or Yuta Kikuchi would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Updates on their training camps, changes in weight class, or even pre-fight press conference statements could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning has the potential to move this market.