TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

63%

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Wuning 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yuta Kikuchi
polymarket

What is the result of Ryuki Matsuda vs Yuta Kikuchi?

Volume:
$15,128

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:22 AM EST

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Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yuta Kikuchi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Yuta Kikuchi in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Yuta Kikuchi. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Kikuchi' if Yuta Kikuchi advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Yuta Kikuchi in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Yuta Kikuchi. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Kikuchi' if Yuta Kikuchi advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Matsuda vs Kikuchi fight tracks the current probabilities associated with each outcome, displaying them as percentages. It also provides a price history, showing how these probabilities have shifted over time as traders buy and sell shares. You can view the total volume traded in this market, currently at $15,128, and the 24-hour volume, which is $15,128. This allows you to gauge market activity and sentiment surrounding the fight's potential results, providing insight into where the crowd believes the advantage lies.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by actual trading volume and the beliefs of participants. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the fighters’ capabilities. It's common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Matsuda vs Kikuchi fight is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official decision announced by the event organizers, whether it be a win by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either Ryuki Matsuda or Yuta Kikuchi would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Updates on their training camps, changes in weight class, or even pre-fight press conference statements could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning has the potential to move this market.