TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Sergey Betov in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Sergey Betov. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Betov' if Sergey Betov advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Sergey Betov in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Sergey Betov. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Betov' if Sergey Betov advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Matsuda vs Betov fight. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of the outcome it represents, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 fight between Ryuki Matsuda and Sergey Betov, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute funds accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding the fighters’ training, potential injuries, or changes in their fight strategies could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s venue or scheduling could also cause fluctuations. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis, might shift the perceived probabilities. Any significant information related to the physical condition or preparation of either Ryuki Matsuda or Sergey Betov could lead to movement in this market.