TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Seggerman and Maxim Zhukov in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Seggerman' if Ryan Seggerman advances against Maxim Zhukov. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Ryan Seggerman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Seggerman and Maxim Zhukov in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Seggerman' if Ryan Seggerman advances against Maxim Zhukov. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Ryan Seggerman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 fight, as determined by the event organizers and reported by recognized sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100% for the winning fighter, and 0% for the losing fighter. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to their share size, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the fighters’ recent performance or public perception could also play a significant role. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in the collective forecast for the Wuning 3 fight.