TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Wuning 3: Naoya Honda vs Kristjan Tamm
polymarket

What is the result of Naoya Honda vs Kristjan Tamm?

Volume:
$26,483

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:24 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Naoya Honda vs Kristjan Tamm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Kristjan Tamm in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Kristjan Tamm in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their beliefs about the likelihood of each fighter winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, although that isn't always the case. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of the Honda vs Tamm fight.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Honda vs Tamm fight. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective expectation. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their own analysis and information. The current volume is $26,483.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 fight between Naoya Honda and Kristjan Tamm. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available results from recognized sports news sources and official fight records. The market will then settle, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner of the fight. The total volume traded in this market is $26,483.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ condition, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, potentially driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s rules or location might also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the market’s movements.