TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Julien De Cuyper in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Julien De Cuyper. This market will resolve to 'Julien De Cuyper' if Julien De Cuyper advances against Max Purcell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Julien De Cuyper in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Julien De Cuyper. This market will resolve to 'Julien De Cuyper' if Julien De Cuyper advances against Max Purcell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion on the likely outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and there is no central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Max Purcell and Julien De Cuyper, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could all cause the market to react. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, reflecting their strong conviction about the match's outcome.