TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Filip Peliwo in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Filip Peliwo. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Max Purcell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Filip Peliwo in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Filip Peliwo. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Max Purcell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially providing a more accurate forecast than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Purcell vs Peliwo match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations. The current volume suggests a degree of interest in the potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Max Purcell and Filip Peliwo, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market’s price ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on the platform.