TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan
polymarket

What is the result of Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan?

Volume:
$118,874

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 5:52 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 1 Winner

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Match O/U 21.5

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Match O/U 22.5

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Match O/U 23.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan Game Spread +/-0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Akira Santillan in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Akira Santillan in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Castelnuovo vs Santillan fight tracks the current probabilities assigned to each outcome by traders. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $118,874. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $118,874, providing insight into recent market activity. This allows you to monitor how sentiment shifts as new information becomes available leading up to the fight.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the outcome of the Castelnuovo vs Santillan fight. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when there’s significant public information available. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and those offered by conventional sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 fight between Luca Castelnuovo and Akira Santillan, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which fighter won the bout, and payouts will be distributed accordingly based on the final, official result. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive outcome of the fight.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Any significant developments related to the physical condition or preparation of either Luca Castelnuovo or Akira Santillan are likely to cause fluctuations in the probabilities reflected in this market. Public analysis and expert opinions could also influence trading.