TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Hiroki Moriya in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Hiroki Moriya in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds initially favor one player heavily, but traders in this market believe the match is more competitive, the odds here will adjust accordingly. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Keegan Smith and Hiroki Moriya. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. The process aims to provide a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from reputable sources could all cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the price, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 12, 2026.