TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Koki Matsuda in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Koki Matsuda in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though biases can still exist. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, risk assessment, or simply varying opinions among bettors and market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect probabilities as an event approaches, especially when significant information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates the collective wisdom of those trading on Polymarket regarding the outcome of the Evan Zhu vs Koki Matsuda match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Evan Zhu and Koki Matsuda, as reported by official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several signals could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could influence trader sentiment. Updates on match conditions, such as the playing surface or weather, might also play a role. Furthermore, expert analysis or commentary from respected sources in the sport could shift perceptions of each player’s chances. Unexpected developments or even rumors circulating within the competitive gaming community could also cause price fluctuations in this market, reflecting the dynamic nature of predictions.