TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 3:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Alibek Kachmazov in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Alibek Kachmazov. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Alibek Kachmazov in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Alibek Kachmazov. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change based on new information and betting activity.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Wuning 3 match between Evan Zhu and Alibek Kachmazov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding the health or form of either Evan Zhu or Alibek Kachmazov would likely impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a change in venue or format, could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Public analysis and commentary on the players' strengths and weaknesses may also influence trader behavior and, consequently, the market price.