TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 4:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Tamm/Wang and Santillan/Zheng in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamm/Wang' if the team of Tamm/Wang advances against Santillan/Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Santillan/Zheng' if the team of Santillan/Zheng advances against Tamm/Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Tamm/Wang and Santillan/Zheng in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamm/Wang' if the team of Tamm/Wang advances against Santillan/Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Santillan/Zheng' if the team of Santillan/Zheng advances against Tamm/Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who have a financial stake in the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on differing analyses, public sentiment, and the availability of specialized information. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of those trading. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuning 3 doubles match between Tamm/Wang and Santillan/Zheng. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which team won and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, external factors like weather conditions or even public endorsements could play a role. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.