TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Beibit Zhukayev and Yaroslav Demin in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Beibit Zhukayev' if Beibit Zhukayev advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Beibit Zhukayev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Beibit Zhukayev and Yaroslav Demin in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Beibit Zhukayev' if Beibit Zhukayev advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Beibit Zhukayev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more efficient as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise, access to information, or simply varying opinions regarding the Zhukayev vs Demin fight. It’s common to see the market adjust to incorporate factors that sportsbooks might overlook.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Zhukayev vs Demin fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final result and their holdings in the market. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on objective, verifiable data.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s venue or rules could also cause shifts in the market. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though the market isn’t necessarily directly tied to these external factors. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market.