TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ajeet Rai and Grigoriy Lomakin in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ajeet Rai' if Ajeet Rai advances against Grigoriy Lomakin. This market will resolve to 'Grigoriy Lomakin' if Grigoriy Lomakin advances against Ajeet Rai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ajeet Rai and Grigoriy Lomakin in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ajeet Rai' if Ajeet Rai advances against Grigoriy Lomakin. This market will resolve to 'Grigoriy Lomakin' if Grigoriy Lomakin advances against Ajeet Rai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the fight’s likely outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges and impacts perceptions of the fighters’ chances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising the price and increased selling pressure lowering it.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rai vs Lomakin fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the fight’s outcome to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause shifts in the odds. Pre-fight press conferences, weigh-in results, and even analysis from boxing experts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also contribute to price movements, as traders reassess the potential impact on each fighter’s chances.