TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan Three Towns FC and Shanghai Shenhua, focusing on determining whether either team wins or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Market resolution accounts for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring fair pricing if necessary.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Shanghai Shenhua professional Chinese Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Wuhan Three Towns FC, a win for Shanghai Shenhua, or a tie. If either team secures a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing only on the standing after regular playing time.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are miscalibrated or that there’s information not yet fully priced in by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Chinese Super League match. The current market indicates a strong level of interest in the potential outcomes of this contest.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Wuhan Three Towns FC versus Shanghai Shenhua match in the Chinese Super League. This includes any potential postponements or cancellations that may affect the final result. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the final score and officially settle the market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Wuhan Three Towns FC or Shanghai Shenhua could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical adjustments announced by either team leading up to the game, or even early goals scored during the match itself, are likely to cause fluctuations in the market’s pricing.