TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan Three Towns FC and Shandong Taishan. The focus is on determining whether either team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Shandong Taishan professional Chinese Super League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Wuhan Three Towns FC wins (per Rule 1), Shandong Taishan wins (per Rule 2), or the match ends in a tie (per Rule 3), all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from individuals actively trading. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's significant uncertainty or disagreement among traders regarding the likely outcome of the Chinese Super League match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chinese Super League match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing mechanism, meaning prices change with each trade, providing a constantly updated assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuhan Three Towns FC versus Shandong Taishan match as reported by a recognized sports news source. The final score and official match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the official confirmation of the match outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Wuhan Three Towns FC or Shandong Taishan could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or controversial referee assignments might also move the market. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts could sway trader opinions and affect the price of contracts related to the Chinese Super League match.