TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Yuan and Caty McNally in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Yuan' if Yue Yuan advances against Caty McNally. This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Yue Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Yuan and Caty McNally in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Yuan' if Yue Yuan advances against Caty McNally. This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Yue Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player’s chances, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on the market. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular player will drive up their price, indicating greater confidence in their victory.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yue Yuan vs Caty McNally match as reported by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match, according to official results, will determine the winning outcome in this market. All trading will cease once the result is known and verified, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect confidence in the players involved in this market, leading to price adjustments on Polymarket.