TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Magda Linette in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Magda Linette. This market will resolve to 'Magda Linette' if Magda Linette advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Magda Linette in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Magda Linette. This market will resolve to 'Magda Linette' if Magda Linette advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that differ from those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form and potential. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to news and developments, potentially exceeding the speed of sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kraus-Linette match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sinja Kraus versus Magda Linette qualification match at the Wuhan Tennis Open. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the qualification draw could also impact confidence in either player's chances. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts, if widely disseminated, could sway traders' opinions and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these developments will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 17, 2026.