TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Daria Kasatkina in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Daria Kasatkina in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market's probabilities are driven purely by traders' willingness to buy or sell. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is underrating a player’s chances, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event draws closer, revealing differing assessments of the players’ form and potential.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuhan Tennis Open Qualification match between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Daria Kasatkina. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by the official tournament organizers and reported by reputable sports news sources.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent form could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – could trigger a price movement. Keep an eye on tennis news and social media for any developments that could affect the perceived likelihood of either player winning this match.