TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Frech and Aoi Ito in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Aoi Ito. This market will resolve to 'Aoi Ito' if Aoi Ito advances against Magdalena Frech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Frech and Aoi Ito in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Aoi Ito. This market will resolve to 'Aoi Ito' if Aoi Ito advances against Magdalena Frech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a similar assessment to those found at sportsbooks, but can diverge based on information available to traders on Polymarket. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on player rankings, head-to-head records, and recent performance. This market, however, allows for a more dynamic assessment as new information emerges – such as injury reports or changes in playing conditions – and is directly influenced by the collective wisdom of traders. While sportsbooks may adjust odds less frequently, the prediction market reacts in near real-time to any perceived shifts in the likelihood of either player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Wuhan Tennis Open qualification match between Magdalena Frech and Aoi Ito is officially completed, and if so, whether Magdalena Frech is declared the winner according to official tournament results. The market will settle to 100% for the 'Yes' outcome if Frech wins, and 0% for the 'Yes' outcome if she does not. Any incomplete or abandoned matches will be handled according to the platform’s standard rules.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player fitness – specifically, reports of injuries to either Magdalena Frech or Aoi Ito – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament venue could also affect the perceived advantage of either player. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also contribute to movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants on Polymarket could signal new information or a change in sentiment, driving price fluctuations.