TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether there will be over or under 10.5 games played in the second set of the Wuhan Tennis Open match between Mia Pohankova and Xiyu Wang. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Pohankova vs. Wang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the official result reported following the completion of the second set.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Xiyu Wang in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Xiyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xiyu Wang' if Xiyu Wang advances against Mia Pohankova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Wang vs Pohankova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the match – determining which player won – will be used to determine the winning share in this market. The resolution will be based on the official tournament results as reported by recognized tennis authorities. No further information about the resolution process is available beyond this general timing and outcome verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location, or even changes in court surface, could also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could influence overall sentiment and trading behavior in this market, as traders reassess their predictions based on the evolving competitive landscape.