TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Marta Kostyuk in the Wuhan Tennis Open will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Maria Sakkari vs Marta Kostyuk”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET, as that is when the initial signal for match completion – or potential postponement – will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Marta Kostyuk in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Marta Kostyuk. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Maria Sakkari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though biases can still exist. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, and public perception. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, based on the expectations of its users regarding the Sakkari vs Kostyuk match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Sakkari vs Kostyuk match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also affect the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations, potentially causing the odds to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into the market's potential direction.