TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mananchaya Sawangkaew and Magdalena Frech in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mananchaya Sawangkaew' if Mananchaya Sawangkaew advances against Magdalena Frech. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Mananchaya Sawangkaew. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mananchaya Sawangkaew and Magdalena Frech in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mananchaya Sawangkaew' if Mananchaya Sawangkaew advances against Magdalena Frech. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Mananchaya Sawangkaew. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences their odds, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe one player will win, the odds will reflect that, potentially differing from sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within this market. It’s common to see prediction markets as a potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Wuhan Tennis Open match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there is no central price setter or external influence.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuhan Tennis Open match between Mananchaya Sawangkaew and Magdalena Frech, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. The outcome will be based on the official, final match results.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Mananchaya Sawangkaew or Magdalena Frech, would likely cause movement. Significant changes in weather conditions at the tournament venue could also impact the odds. Furthermore, unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to their encounter could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Polymarket itself, driven by informed traders or new information, could also cause notable price fluctuations.