TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Maja Chwalinska will advance against Sonay Kartal in their Wuhan Tennis Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Maja Chwalinska winning the match. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on October 18, 2026, as that will determine whether the match proceeds and this market resolves.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Chwalinska and Sonay Kartal in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Sonay Kartal. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Maja Chwalinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as information and opinions evolve. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Wuhan Tennis Open match between Maja Chwalinska and Sonay Kartal. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome. The outcome is determined by the official result of the match, not by any subjective assessment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, if Maja Chwalinska were to withdraw from another tournament due to injury before Oct 25, 2026, her chances of winning this match would likely decrease, and the market would reflect that. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact confidence. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s likelihood of winning has the potential to move this market.