TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Katie Volynets will advance against Hanyu Guo in their Wuhan Tennis Open match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Volynets vs. Guo: Match O/U 23.5”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Traders should watch the match itself, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by whether Volynets advances against Guo during that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Hanyu Guo in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Hanyu Guo. This market will resolve to 'Hanyu Guo' if Hanyu Guo advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides of a bet, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional bookmakers. Comparing the two can offer a broader view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Volynets vs Guo match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and trading activity, reflecting the evolving expectations of market participants. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Volynets vs Guo match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in belief, causing the price to move. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket are key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.