TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Diana Shnaider in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Katie Boulter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Diana Shnaider in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Katie Boulter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the market. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Boulter vs Shnaider match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher its price, and the greater the implied probability. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Boulter vs Shnaider match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights, might also cause price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.