TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Caty McNally in the Wuhan Tennis Open will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally.” Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as that is when the initial signal for match commencement – and therefore potential completion – will be available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Caty McNally in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Caty McNally. This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook's odds are miscalibrated, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Muchova vs McNally match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand the resolution process.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price movements, reflecting changes in collective opinion about the likelihood of different outcomes in the Muchova vs McNally match.