TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Jasmine Paolini will advance against Sonay Kartal in their Wuhan Tennis Open match, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal” and a 0.1% probability to the alternative outcome. The match results will be sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores to determine settlement. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the completion of the Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal fixture on October 14, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Sonay Kartal in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Sonay Kartal. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as player form, injury reports, or weather conditions – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy, especially closer to the event, as they aggregate diverse viewpoints and incentives. It's common to see discrepancies, but they can highlight potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Paolini vs Kartal match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. It’s important to note that the official outcome, as determined by the governing body of the tournament, is the sole determinant of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or unexpected developments in their recent form could significantly shift expectations. Updates on player strategies or head-to-head records could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as upsets in other matches at the Wuhan Open, might influence overall market sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or analyst predictions, could also contribute to price movements in this market.