TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Nikola Bartunkova in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Nikola Bartunkova in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, which can introduce biases. This market, driven by individual traders' assessments, often incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to sharp bettors, prediction markets often become more accurate as more information becomes available and more people participate, potentially offering a more efficient price discovery process.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Paolini vs Bartunkova match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paolini vs Bartunkova match as determined by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected in the market’s settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and influence the price, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities for the Paolini vs Bartunkova match.