TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Daria Snigur in the Wuhan Tennis Open will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Janice Tjen vs Daria Snigur”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as that is when the initial signal for match completion—and thus market resolution—will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Daria Snigur in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Janice Tjen' if Janice Tjen advances against Daria Snigur. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Janice Tjen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Janice Tjen will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tjen-Snigur match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Wuhan Tennis Open could also impact the perceived chances of either player. Additionally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 21, 2026.